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When we've had company-specific disappointments like this over the past two years, we've seen buyers come in after the midday to snap up bargains. If that doesn't happen, it could be very bad. We could see the Dow at 10,500, which would be a blow less than a week after everyone was talking about tripping over 11,000. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

When we've had company-specific disappointments like this over the past two years, we've seen buyers come in after the midday to snap up bargains. If that doesn't happen, it could be very bad. We could see the Dow at 10,500, which would be a blow less than a week after everyone was talking about tripping over 11,000.

Richard Suttmeier

As we get closer to the quarter-end, if the Federal Reserve does not raise rates, and even indicates a neutral bias after that, you will have a quarter-ending window-dressing rally like you've never seen before, - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

As we get closer to the quarter-end, if the Federal Reserve does not raise rates, and even indicates a neutral bias after that, you will have a quarter-ending window-dressing rally like you've never seen before,

Richard Suttmeier

If you are a short-term trader you like to see some more gyrations. But certainly from a longer term perspective you want to see the market broaden out, have a very nice looking pattern to it technically so that you are not getting hurt too much in a market that's going to grind higher. It looks like that will continue. My theme is productivity. The Federal Reserve stated that that is a very important point in moving the economy forward. The Fed will allow a stronger growth rate as long as productivity gains remain strong. And I think that's going to be the case. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

If you are a short-term trader you like to see some more gyrations. But certainly from a longer term perspective you want to see the market broaden out, have a very nice looking pattern to it technically so that you are not getting hurt too much in a market that's going to grind higher. It looks like that will continue. My theme is productivity. The Federal Reserve stated that that is a very important point in moving the economy forward. The Fed will allow a stronger growth rate as long as productivity gains remain strong. And I think that's going to be the case.

Richard Suttmeier

I am optimistic about most of the stocks in the market because I think it's only the Dow and the transports that have a negative profile right now. We've evaluated and came up with 10 sectors that we thought were positioned the best in the year 2000, and moving forward in terms of providing leadership in the economy. And then in that

Richard Suttmeier

We could be looking at the mirror image of what happened in April of last year, where we got above the 50-day and 200-day averages and then the trend turned up. The risk of rolling the other way is the opposite [of that action]. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

We could be looking at the mirror image of what happened in April of last year, where we got above the 50-day and 200-day averages and then the trend turned up. The risk of rolling the other way is the opposite [of that action].

Richard Suttmeier

All year long, it's been a tale of two markets. The momentum on the Dow is declining, and the Dow last week failed at its 200-day moving average, which is declining, two things that are negative for the Dow and for 'old economy' stocks. Whereas on the Nasdaq, since the big correction that we had, the Nasdaq momentum is now rising, and it traded back above its 200-day moving average, which is still rising. Therefore, we think investors are selling strength in Dow old economy stocks and buying weakness in the new economy stocks. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

All year long, it's been a tale of two markets. The momentum on the Dow is declining, and the Dow last week failed at its 200-day moving average, which is declining, two things that are negative for the Dow and for 'old economy' stocks. Whereas on the Nasdaq, since the big correction that we had, the Nasdaq momentum is now rising, and it traded back above its 200-day moving average, which is still rising. Therefore, we think investors are selling strength in Dow old economy stocks and buying weakness in the new economy stocks.

Richard Suttmeier

I think we've set the stage for a year-end rally. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

I think we've set the stage for a year-end rally.

Richard Suttmeier

Rally

That [moving-average] rollover is the mirror image of a bullish crossover that happened in March/April of 2003. That gives a significant amount of risk to the market. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

That [moving-average] rollover is the mirror image of a bullish crossover that happened in March/April of 2003. That gives a significant amount of risk to the market.

Richard Suttmeier

That [moving-average] rollover is the mirror image of a bullish crossover that happened in March/April of 2003, ... That gives a significant amount of risk to the market. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

That [moving-average] rollover is the mirror image of a bullish crossover that happened in March/April of 2003, ... That gives a significant amount of risk to the market.

Richard Suttmeier

Greenspan is at risk of losing his credibility, based upon the fact he was so upbeat two or three weeks ago, ... If they don't bring rates up at this meeting, he will lose credibility -- that would send a horrible message to markets. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

Greenspan is at risk of losing his credibility, based upon the fact he was so upbeat two or three weeks ago, ... If they don't bring rates up at this meeting, he will lose credibility -- that would send a horrible message to markets.

Richard Suttmeier

You have so many unknowns. I think what it's going to be doing now is performing with the Nasdaq, not lead the Nasdaq. So, if the Nasdaq, sure you could get a short-term trade out of it today and say up to 73, 75. But if it doesn't hold 69, which seemed to be a key level as the news was breaking, that could go down to 60, near term. That's where I would put some longer-term money in. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

You have so many unknowns. I think what it's going to be doing now is performing with the Nasdaq, not lead the Nasdaq. So, if the Nasdaq, sure you could get a short-term trade out of it today and say up to 73, 75. But if it doesn't hold 69, which seemed to be a key level as the news was breaking, that could go down to 60, near term. That's where I would put some longer-term money in.

Richard Suttmeier

Bill Gross may have the most fixed-income assets on the planet but his ability to forecast what the Fed may or may not do is not very good, - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

Bill Gross may have the most fixed-income assets on the planet but his ability to forecast what the Fed may or may not do is not very good,

Richard Suttmeier

It's not a big roaring bull market. It's just a slow but steady climb towards resistance in terms of the Nasdaq. We could get up to 4,400 or 4,600 by the end of the quarter. In terms of the Dow, we're getting closer to resistance and we're in the zone. Maybe we can go up another couple of hundred points. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

It's not a big roaring bull market. It's just a slow but steady climb towards resistance in terms of the Nasdaq. We could get up to 4,400 or 4,600 by the end of the quarter. In terms of the Dow, we're getting closer to resistance and we're in the zone. Maybe we can go up another couple of hundred points.

Richard Suttmeier

There's complacency in the market. In my experience, the correction (tends to be) a bigger one the longer you go without one. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

There's complacency in the market. In my experience, the correction (tends to be) a bigger one the longer you go without one.

Richard Suttmeier

We've left ourselves without support as we're breaking to new lows for the year, - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

We've left ourselves without support as we're breaking to new lows for the year,

Richard Suttmeier

What I don't want to see is the Dow fall below that October low, because then you're in danger of seeing a Dow 5,000 scenario. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

What I don't want to see is the Dow fall below that October low, because then you're in danger of seeing a Dow 5,000 scenario.

Richard Suttmeier

If we fall below 7,700, we're looking at a potential fall to 7,200, where it was in October. That's a 500 point range, but it's one we could stay in for a while. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

If we fall below 7,700, we're looking at a potential fall to 7,200, where it was in October. That's a 500 point range, but it's one we could stay in for a while.

Richard Suttmeier

The market is looking for that soft landing. If we can get through the productivity unit labor cost next week, and they are benign, and it takes the Fed totally off the radar screen, then we'll get a relief rally, but not a bull market. So we're in a non-bear market, non-bull market. We're in a trading-range environment. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

The market is looking for that soft landing. If we can get through the productivity unit labor cost next week, and they are benign, and it takes the Fed totally off the radar screen, then we'll get a relief rally, but not a bull market. So we're in a non-bear market, non-bull market. We're in a trading-range environment.

Richard Suttmeier

Labor

It's a question of how long you've owned it. If you've owned it from 1997 levels, maybe you own from $30 a share post splits. And if that's the case, you want to take a look at how much money did I have invested in Microsoft two, three, or four years ago, how much money do I have invested in Microsoft now, and maybe pare it back a little due to the uncertainty. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

It's a question of how long you've owned it. If you've owned it from 1997 levels, maybe you own from $30 a share post splits. And if that's the case, you want to take a look at how much money did I have invested in Microsoft two, three, or four years ago, how much money do I have invested in Microsoft now, and maybe pare it back a little due to the uncertainty.

Richard Suttmeier

I think there's still a lot of investors -- particularly the shorter-term investors -- who are looking to sell strength. They're trying to shore up their accounts by selling strength in this market. They've just had a lot of problems and they were obviously some hurting portfolios, if you will, based upon the declines that we saw for March and for May. - Richard Suttmeier Quotes

I think there's still a lot of investors -- particularly the shorter-term investors -- who are looking to sell strength. They're trying to shore up their accounts by selling strength in this market. They've just had a lot of problems and they were obviously some hurting portfolios, if you will, based upon the declines that we saw for March and for May.

Richard Suttmeier

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